Undaunted By Puerto Rico’s Financial Mess, Hospitality Industry Blazes Ahead

Bisnow Article by deirdra.funcheon@bisnow.com July 24

“As you can imagine, things are a bit crazy here,” said Emilio Colón-Zavala, president of ECZ Group and head of the Puerto Rico Builders’ Association, this month — even though it has been almost a year since Hurricane Maria slammed his homeland.Puerto Rico is still recovering from hurricane-related infrastructure failures (the water system was long-neglected and the electric company has had five CEOs in a year) as well as a decade-plus financial crisis.

The commonwealth owes creditors a whopping $124B, and bondholders are fighting over who will be repaid. Investors are looking to scoop up distressed properties or take advantage of generous tax incentives, and cryptocurrency entrepreneurs have invaded with a vision to remake the island and run it on bitcoin. Meanwhile, residents still struggle; the average family income is about $20K.  Amid these challenges, the hospitality industry is putting on its best face and charging sunnily ahead. Most hotels in the commonwealth are back open or will resume operations by the time high season begins in September; some already had record occupancy for spring break.  Colón-Zavala and other experts will discuss these converging factors — and the state of the hospitality industry throughout the Caribbean — at Bisnow’s Caribbean Hospitality and Investment Summit in Miami Aug. 23.

5b55eda63141f_old_san_juan

Carla Campos, executive director of the Puerto Rico Tourism Company (a government agency), said the hospitality industry was seizing this moment to come back better and stronger. As of May, she told Travel Weekly, 12,000 of Puerto Rico’s 15,000 hotel rooms were operational and the other 3,000 were being remodeled. She said the reopening of the St. Regis, El San Juan and the Ritz-Carlton in October would be recovery milestones. The hurricane made Americans more aware that Puerto Rico is “a U.S. territory and you don’t need a passport to go there, that there is easy access from U.S. cities,” Campos said. “That puts us in this position to seize the opportunity to capitalize on this increased awareness and convert it into awareness in travel.” In addition to her agency, a Destination Marketing Organization — a private nonprofit corporation responsible for the promotion abroad of Puerto Rico as a tourist destination — was established with legislation last year and will be funded with $25M annually. Brad Dean, the former head of Myrtle Beach Chamber of Commerce, will run the DMO and recruit both leisure and business travelers. 

Colón-Zavala said in addition to remodels, new construction is on tap. A JW Marriott, Aloft San Juan Convention Center, Aloft Ponce and Four Seasons Cayo Largo are all in the works. “We have already like $1.9B in projects in the pipeline,” Colón-Zavala said. “It’s going to be like a 4,000-room increase — like 5% of hotel inventory. We have 15,000 hotel rooms in Puerto Rico and the pipeline is almost 25% more.” That means builders are in high demand — “You get proposals left and right,” Colón-Zavala said — but contractors are being selective about which jobs to take for fear of not getting paid in a timely manner. Private insurance has been slow to pay claims, and some government agencies don’t have funds due to the commonwealth’s financial crisis. FEMA is still active, and is siphoning workers from other jobs by paying 25% to 50% more, Colón-Zavala said.From an investment standpoint, Colón-Zavala said people from around the world have been interested in Puerto Rico; there is a lot of interest from China. Investors should look not just at hotels and resorts, but also at public-private partnerships in infrastructure, Colón-Zavala said. He said private companies have recently been awarded concessions to run a ferry service, a major highway and airport operations. 

Numerous solar companies have also descended on the region. “A year ago, people would not buy solar with batteries because of the expense that it represented,” he said. “This year, it’s the other way around — you would be crazy not to buy a battery with your solar panels.”    Sion Capital founder Jonathan Kracer, who advises real estate investors and will also speak at next month’s event, wrote recently that there is forward momentum pulsing through the 30 major Caribbean islands. All-inclusive resorts are doing brisk business, and low-cost airlines from all around the world have increased flights to the region. Kracer told Bisnow that following last year’s hurricanes, “I was surprised by the lack of a cohesive communications strategy to change traveler misconceptions about the conditions in the Caribbean. Only about eight islands of the [about] 30 in the Caribbean were most impacted by Hurricane Irma, and the perception of damage impacted demand volumes in the whole region.” Ultimately, though, he said that better construction techniques and stricter building standards would bode well for the region. Right now, he said the best move for investors would probably be “acquiring older independent assets or damaged properties from the recent hurricanes, and renovating and professionally managing them … As tourism is the most important economic driver for the region, the Caribbean is very resilient and will bounce back.”  

Another panelist, Rogerio Basso, principal investment officer for multilateral development bank IDB Invest, said “We have a heightened appetite to explore greenfield operations in the Caribbean and are also seeing growing interest from regional banks to fund hospitality transactions. Rising interest rates, however, are putting pressure on developers to not overextend themselves on debt and ensuring projects have sound fundamentals to withstand market trepidations.”

Hear more about tourism, hotels and investment in the Caribbean at Bisnow’s Caribbean Hospitality and Investment Summit Aug. 23. 

HOLA Conference – Day 1

5|15|2018 – JW Marriott, Downtown, Miami.  

AG&T and the Builders Association of Puerto Rico invited to participate at the Hotel Opportunities Latin America (HOLA) Conference in Miami. 

Some take aways from today’s meeting in Miami. 

  • The LATAM hotel industry is seeing a lot of over supply with a few exceptions in the emerging countries. 
  • Big hospitality growth in Colombia(14%), Costa Rica(15%)  and Peru (18%) . 
  • Mexico and Brazil still lead in overall Latin American hotel supply pipeline. 
  • As for new development, risk management is the word of the day. As is expected, all inclusive resorts seem less concerned about the new disruptors like Airbnb, but all are keeping their eyes on elections in several key countries. 
  • Argentina and Brazilian markets continues to draw hotel groups but there is uncertainty about exit timetable. 
  • Investors in several LATAM countries move beyond capitalization rates and focus primarily on desired yields.

 

Join us at the Hola:  http://holaconference.com

 

 

 

Puerto Rico Elects to be # 51?

The current territorial status received 1.3% (6,820) votes, independence 1.5% (7,773) votes, and 97% (502,375) votes for Statehood, according to the State Election Commission.

vote art

This is the first time in Puerto Rico history that a Statehood referendum receives such an overwhelming majority of voters. 

 “The votes are what dictate what the steps to follow will be; in this case, a strong majority determined that we would reject the colony and favor statehood,” governor Ricardo Rosello said.

This process of petitioning Statehood will be effected under the “Tennessee Plan” whereby the governor will designate seven members to go to Congress and request Puerto Rico to become the 51st State.  

According to Resident Commissioner Jennifer González, the June 11, 2017 turn-out of 23% of registered voters (516,968) is in line with several states that were the last to achieved admission. 

  • Arizona – In 1911, a participation of 15,489 voters of a population of 217,000, for a 7% electoral participation.
  • Hawaii  – In 1940, 35% electoral participation.
  • Alaska – In 1946,  a participation of 16,375 voters of a population of 75,000, for a 21% electoral participation.  

 

 

 

 

A Fiscal Plan Towards Economic Recovery

Old San Juan

 

On October 14, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico submitted its Fiscal plan. Here is my summary: 

Only with a change in federal policy and a change in the trajectory of the island’s economy toward real growth, will there be money for  debt service – while not jeopardizing the Commonwealth’s ability to provide essential services. 

 

  • U..S. citizens living in Puerto Rico must receive the same level of healthcare funding as citizens living in the 50 statesThe Commonwealth Can Achieve Efficiency Gains by Consolidating Overlapping Agencies and by Further Centralizing Procurement to Capture Cost Savings
  • Complete large-scale strategic projects to improve accesses and competitiveness including the Northwest Corridor (PR-22 highway from Hatillo to Aguadilla), the redevelopment of Roosevelts Roads, and the Caguas Commuter Rail
  • Position Puerto Rico as one of the premiere travel destinations of the world for local, domestic and foreign travelers by supporting the financing of 9 hotel construction projects currently on hold
  • Attract economic development, private investment, and tourism by expanding the Port of the Americas value added zone, improving the Aguadilla airport, and expanding the Panamericano docks to attract Quantum-like mega cruise ships.

 

 

Click here to see the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico Fiscal Plan : https://issuu.com/adamgreenfader/docs/fiscal_plan_v_final